![FOF组合基金(第2版):大数据金融丛书](https://wfqqreader-1252317822.image.myqcloud.com/cover/460/25462460/b_25462460.jpg)
其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1739052524-Jm8ajF5vrFvrpwAxKvFyWMBHYxyVzIs5-0-c6de3bff31a8584e6ece49f892cc9174)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1739052524-FlqhfPfuQgxVDfI5LuV7CJm3WRw0KTdm-0-fd9e0db3fd905b003bbe18821ba081a9)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1739052524-TFinriTzkBqIWLOLoCEoLnHAlYQu9RD1-0-56c1cb88674cb9d27119b83c49ef33a9)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1739052524-Bpb63aLNF17X6Hm2AGLMOX56TlC52anu-0-c2d64a9976e455323f6c9e1a846bf5f4)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1739052524-60DTCs7IUFppkQLhjOLi1p0wiYnAM8Ua-0-5e2ebde08b46813a07069d200bf2862d)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1739052524-MCNTiwy44U8Zg1PLOQsKjR5F0csp5UlM-0-5ce702b1e779638ff54784aa3bc3b90a)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1739052524-2hsxyW5nAtC51fKU2m8zcnSpPW1R0RLa-0-33d04f48d9c8075ceb429d5fbaa817ed)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1739052524-JeppXupq7ke2VvltmJ9KYh8QIu6jt8lu-0-0615c84c8b4cc94c3fcdfea137e50275)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1739052524-Z86ndTLQvtRnAuWOCexKBHoehAiQrUeh-0-465058553f8b8c0b852307a4fb128a7b)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1739052524-bpJHsYB06WsQveRYkuTDJrIPLH7HanKd-0-8aad0b67377158114aae3576eee76674)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1739052524-MfTtlHqKGtWavs0TMhS5pFlalSAYQSSq-0-15ba390632e62187e586492644777df7)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1739052524-xMkpXmjPf9Y89mhpbeHriXNTMBQuSHvG-0-407eb9c168b9edf5186755dcb56ef64d)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1739052524-dQSd1BGCA44WlkJMyR1BozGLmvKWAgXl-0-1f06d695440f3d67c5533d1d3195af63)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1739052524-y13zXHBPrLt2pJjZoE9J2mE0cTuaUn5b-0-3aad4cb91731652dc2d6b969bd5813f9)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1739052524-836QeoiskcTY3MqQIpU2al7zi9SelqUu-0-00c257fe70f4281517e061753c083fee)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1739052524-3VM5hraQupntPCXblC8igvYoNVexHqgz-0-ab77b92e23ff818092e0fabcee804379)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1739052524-EqYCh2nZHNFJI1PTsbg53huO76Ljb1St-0-8a60eae4ddd35a60b80bfbd5127ae18b)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1739052524-B5v4YCXZhNfG22diCDhTn8N286IT0YF1-0-6d2631caafeea75e34c51a46b4173587)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1739052524-R2WcoCg3YGYf4SE7sNFokWSsGcLDRj57-0-41432d1978cb083cdf1b41d293314259)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1739052524-ENthE4lrgKCtE1MZ2OH0xrP9oFFYCGsb-0-bd0957c1cb4c7b62259d481f46d19a33)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1739052524-S2mxuDn2qCp1qmSpNMGCG1NRLMJPbBXo-0-00f79832c1b7cceca9007fc00692f8ca)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1739052524-i6jJtdI2IFe8H9aZHjs23wcvL7m4Revr-0-e4088231a6ece0d9d13b14c71c0ddb00)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1739052524-6Hm2V2qildWhrJsJq61hlejCPsz5l90H-0-830770f214029ece25087f3c424fce13)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1739052524-zy6o8Y4OjUnsAg774XBM3VLqD7pFVnqo-0-67be339aef40ce4c51fd696ec80164fe)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1739052524-8Ei3NeV3zxdejveDvqdOOFBlst3jBFhT-0-787ff65bd2012cbabef45c2c16324827)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1739052524-A03QeSeEF28gVgNZbAIQzOYq94zXzaXE-0-3bcfc67b5b2494907a2e1db8896b4da4)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1739052524-pypAmCv8z6MBxd1vVLCWWxsnMV8BvG2t-0-7ef674b10a763521957cd4e2aa15773a)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1739052524-AZOf1RlyXYrDuGfDrKdh55suj2EpD9yp-0-74bcd38ce0e87f1c764ed9b3fe3cf9e8)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1739052524-RXwXuBkNxI6e1MlgTIwSRzgv0xSBG42W-0-4ee4ad38c8cc8d8c8d81db2725462cb3)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1739052524-GM0JHFI45FklhPjV9FNwgGKNzBg0iSrn-0-95c75d94aada890894f5edabaf58ced8)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1739052524-RTh58baE3HM1GVpzX28xAkaicKlNplzB-0-7b39e580e8147ff7b7cac0d365f156bd)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1739052524-uEUG9NXgQlXsU2gYUIf8FU0TLwDzZTSz-0-fff8252d54679607019596d96085b0d1)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1739052524-nGJFTfPvlAarRWGI9DwZ301lzsWds2p1-0-888ce469046f2ff6143c28b96373287a)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1739052524-qyp49zOiTzBK1lFkshgw2YvColg2CBuy-0-75f9ba7c9030bb43931979775a748400)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1739052524-aNcmwkAE3HlUcjWbGwUKbTSafIfWSR4Z-0-7f57f243b9899999cc208eacbcb44010)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1739052524-IjyEpSsyFBB0Sw9g7HQI5zCVFGR9DOgw-0-904887bf7e60eca733d9ba07b2d072fc)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1739052524-JM7V4Qck2MkhneH19xkBLbAAHAyZz11c-0-9d2088234749dfb7ee201ac1a7c72dcf)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1739052524-CNrzR7W7Kyi3loiXcgTQntso7vJGhFIC-0-4a58bdf79836066f3f1b024a6c2988c8)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1739052524-Ux2FUoB9IaiLrmw987Xj7QUtMZ9Oarav-0-4bef682c8d680d3b7ca4a2707720b998)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1739052524-pHmepQPskkWmVKa9rkh1HnbapPs2oKWm-0-853cee7910e6c24cbd2d8b54f966c0d4)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1739052524-vjbytsHR0RueiJvclHoizz35hCUr06Fe-0-515fe441f6b3ba28a799bc67f915577b)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1739052524-WCRC13vcQCC5ei3uecBDyRMRJB5VQ3ad-0-d4f3822f8ed509aff356c941742f65c0)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1739052524-9lCehnVng67yEngGMD9d44rFdPKs8dgh-0-93eff735fda14e872de15188765f86fb)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1739052524-AtSOv5N77Y5BMPPTrS0yMXaavFs7ubua-0-43ae7bbcb388e0f5ba86541553f4eb1a)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1739052524-76g5PsYTfpUTEUMIdSwrfzXJeERqrNAJ-0-92ecb49f00ab6a7f1e31446eff76034a)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1739052524-1Jn85i1pLGXLFeiZtOvkJeXbTcPm1kQY-0-7e2b01b83c276c447991c1df75504cad)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1739052524-Ak9kECkUwQ246pUmpMsbgWzh9EmOW8cu-0-20b3680cec91d3bdf090770a5faaf93a)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1739052524-U9bDwGl3YqJj7fx2TN5p55i7EI3MtW2c-0-6def42985e204453ad0428b37fb7b47f)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1739052524-rXKYcBWqJwkEUSXD3JYsiohhOEo9xSHA-0-9e0b3a2d619f1a772e4540917abe4b2b)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1739052524-BBVjpPiHpGQALMqeeTsBL5r9lDLC9zcb-0-a99bae8ae76cdcf9ece915da7e5d7a54)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1739052524-oxtJ7rtj8PlaPHxTuF1sPnQQTAGNyssA-0-1096808c1490707bee160848e2124b04)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1739052524-yBsVYTtAzRvCFiY18aB7xhtNneAtjh0B-0-e22d67f5ea8d2fb815b54cfe3f6f9b4b)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1739052524-z95qGMUydxUvEXzesyNIEIQoG7HTGSCI-0-48d7715d07a57be7c6edaa6a3375e30a)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1739052524-Himb5h6hH9raP9freCHxpV6S8JfpFUDN-0-36d7683e14b61d06a56add4cf6600b9c)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1739052524-aqApJ4SQjP1sdgl7w4gvRTXdtPMe9wcV-0-e2d55090e681054937659eacebf9bb27)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1739052524-6FlZJqBtKUI29uDhpJuGa8fnr4w921zR-0-2b1000d8d853404605d96bab2b8277e7)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1739052524-LrJQTs1jSGdMGC0W1yJoD6uS2iBcfzGU-0-11052e04d38c2ec860be64df7eb222ae)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1739052524-hReqbYPzrqlfXtItB2MLzqL95dtPlcOG-0-4d63b088dae1e2a2e7cb43f46b2ffad6)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1739052524-MNOtkmTuQDCsGPcftVSDDP04uumtI7mv-0-26eeffd7bcaedbc1d51050a060ce7552)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1739052524-1Yz4BXU30KjDLRGNMU0P5zqUtgIkEEPO-0-c1fc543273ea8ba1c45b634e16eb0519)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1739052524-TQN7omCzSiTPIy0bfDz8WTW8DwnagbSz-0-3ba7d93bcf56029a3c6c4beee8062714)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势